Forex News

Aussie dlr regains some ground after tough week

06 October, 2012 - Reuters
  • Aussie on track to show 1 pct loss vs USD this week
  • Euro set to be up 2.3 pct vs AUD, largest gain since Feb
  • U.S. jobs data could make, or break, risk appetite

By Mantik Kusjanto and Cecile Lefort

WELLINGTON/SYDNEY, Oct 5 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars found a tentative footing on Friday, following a recent steep decline, with markets cautious ahead of key U.S. jobs data due out later in the session.

The local currency crept up to $1.0265, from $1.0240 in early trade, moving some distance away from a one-month trough of $1.0182 hit on Thursday.

Investors are closely watching monthly U.S. payrolls data due at 1230 GMT after recent data suggested the economy was picking up traction again.

Jobs likely increased by 113,000 in September but the jobless rate could have ticked up slightly to 8.2 percent.

"If the number beats expectations, markets will buy risk," summarises a trader at a European bank in Singapore, seeing the Aussie climbing to a high of $1.0300/20.

But should the reading disappoint, he added, the Aussie will suffer.

"We won't see a collapse but the pressure will be for a move lower," he said.

He forecasts a period of consolidation followed by an attempt to break the September low of $1.0165, a level that has proved very resilient.

The Aussie was still on track to post a fall of more than 1 percent this week after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to a three-year low of 3.25 percent and left the door open to more easing.

Interbank futures pricing shows a 62 percent chance of a 25 basis point-cut next month with OIS markets showing 83 basis points worth of easing over the next 12 months.

The Aussie also came under pressure following subdued retail sales data at home, adding to ongoing concerns from falling commodity prices and global growth worries.

Charts indicate more downside with the 200-day moving average standing at $1.0346, a fair way above the Aussie's current level.

For now, the Antipodeans were taking advantage of improving risk appetite after the European Central Bank said it was ready to buy bonds of troubled euro zone members.


The New Zealand dollar edged up 0.4 percent to $0.8240 from $0.8211 in late local trade on Thursday, as traders squared positions ahead of the U.S. long weekend.

The kiwi fell 0.7 percent this week, but looked set to remain in a tight range between $0.8200 and $0.8250 for now.

"The market is taking a bit of a breather ahead of some data," said Tim Kelleher, head of institutional FX sales at ASB Bank. "There is a chance of some volatility next week."

He said some profit-taking in the kiwi against the Aussie continued after its recent outperformance. The Aussie held last around NZ$1.2453 , having hit a one year low of NZ$1.2361 earlier this week following the RBA move.

The euro held hefty gains and hovered near three-month highs against the Aussie at A$1.2677. The common currency looked set to show a jump of 2.3 percent for the week, the largest such gain since February.

The euro last fetched NZ$1.5785 , having risen to NZ$1.5894, its highest since Sept. 18.

The Antipodeans were steady against the yen after the Bank of Japan kept monetary policy unchanged and held off from additional easing measures.

Key New Zealand data next week includes a quarterly survey of business confidence and government accounts for the 12 months to June.

New Zealand government bonds extended earlier softness, sending yields 1 basis point higher.

Australian government bond futures gave back gains made early in the week. The three-year contract slipped 0.06 points to 97.620, having touched 97.750, its highest since late July. The 10-year contract eased 0.07 points to 97.050, from 97.190.

Copyright Thomson Reuters 2012. All rights reserved.

The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters.

Check Customer Rates Now

You transfer

Receiver gets

Register Now - It's Free!

*Rates subject to change and for individuals only

Free Registration

International money transfers at better rates than the banks.

Currency News

RSS Follow Facebook Twitter Follow on LinkedIn Follow on YouTube

Rate Alerts

Choose currency pair and enter the exchange rate. An alert will be triggered when the exchange rate is reached and an email will be sent to you. You can unsubscribe any time and your email address is safe – see our Privacy Policy.

NOTE: These rates are for informational purposes only

IMPORTANT: This information has been prepared for distribution over the internet and without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any particular person. OzForex Group Limited ABN 12 165-602-273 and its subsidiaries ("OzForex") make no recommendations as to the merits of any financial product referred to in this website, emails or its related websites. Please read our Product Disclosure Statement and our Financial Services Guide.
DISCLAIMER: OzForex makes no warranty, express or implied, concerning the suitability, completeness, quality or exactness of the information and models provided in this web site. Read full disclaimer.
OzForex provides international money transfer services to private clients and business customers. Use our free currency converter, exchange rate charts, economic calendar, in-depth currency news and updates and benefit from competitive exchange rates and outstanding customer service.
OzForex Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of OzForex Group Limited, is regulated in Australia by ASIC (AFS Licence number 226 484) © 2011 OzForex Limited ABN 65 092-375-703. Read our Money Laundering Statement.
We are moving to one global brand